Negacionismo e o papel dos fatores políticos para a mortalidade por Covid-19 no Brasil

Marta Castilho; Valeria Pero; Mireille Razafindrakoto; François Roubaud; João Saboia

Negationism and the role of political factors in Covid-19 mortality in Brazil

Authors

Marta Castilho Instituto de Economia – Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1483-4597
Valeria Pero Instituto de Economia – Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3918-2441
Mireille Razafindrakoto Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, LEDa-DIAL Research unit, PSL, Université Paris-Dauphine. Paris, France. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6797-3021
François Roubaud Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, LEDa-DIAL Research unit, PSL, Université Paris-Dauphine. Paris, France. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2234-5256
João Saboia Instituto de Economia – Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0509-4723

Abstract

In a national context marked by a denialist position of the federal government in the fight against the pandemic, Brazil is among the countries most affected by Covid-19. The present study analyzes, along with other socioeconomic, health and demographic factors, how the political orientation of municipalities is related to the mortality rate. In order to analyze two different transmission channels between political factors and mortality, two other econometric models were estimated on the mobility of people and the vaccination rate. One of the most striking results concerns the “Bolsonaro effect”: mortality rates are higher in the municipalities where the president had a more expressive vote in the 2018 elections. The results regarding population mobility seem to confirm that this is one of the main mechanisms of disease transmission. Nevertheless, the political denialist position does not seem to compromise, at least for the first months of the late immunization process in Brazil, the complete vaccination.

Keywords: Covid-19; political factors; socioeconomic inequalities; mortality; social distancing.

JEL Codes: I14, I18, I38, 017, P16, 054

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Published

2023-07-25

How to Cite

CASTILHO, M.; PERO, V.; RAZAFINDRAKOTO, M.; ROUBAUD, F.; SABOIA, J. Negationism and the role of political factors in Covid-19 mortality in Brazil. Nova Economia, [S. l.], v. 33, n. 1, p. 65–93, 2023. Disponível em: https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/7528. Acesso em: 13 may. 2024.

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Issue

Vol. 33 No. 1 (2023): Revista Nova Economia

Section

Regular Issue

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