Drivers de mudança do emprego no Brasil em setores por intensidade tecnológica: uma análise de decomposição estrutural

Álvaro Robério de  Souza Sá; Flaviane Souza Santiago; Luziane da  Silva Gomes

Drivers of employment change in Brazil in sectors by technological intensity: a structural decomposition analysis

Authors

Álvaro Robério de Souza Sá Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6929-1449
Flaviane Souza Santiago Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6580-4232
Luziane da Silva Gomes Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8674-4761

Abstract

This paper investigates the drivers of formal employment growth in Brazil during the 2010s, exploring the heterogeneity of human capital and technological intensity across sectors. Using input-output matrices, the study performs a structural decomposition of employment, identifying the contributions from technological changes, labor intensity, and final demand structure in different subperiods. The results indicate that the new economic factors affected less-skilled workers more. Increased labor productivity and economic changes led to higher unemployment, mainly for these workers. On the other hand, the growth in final demand driven by household consumption was the main factor behind creating new jobs, especially for more skilled workers, suggesting changes in the formal labor market with a qualification bias. Moreover, government consumption, exports and investments also contributed to creating new job opportunities.

Author Biographies

Álvaro Robério de Souza Sá, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora

Programa de Pós-graduação em Economia, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora, MG, Brasil.

Flaviane Souza Santiago, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora

Professora do Programa de Pós-graduação em Economia, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora (UFJF), Juiz de Fora, MG, Brasil.

Luziane da Silva Gomes, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora

Programa de Pós-graduação em Economia, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora (UFJF), Juiz de Fora, MG, Brasil.

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Published

2024-12-03

How to Cite

SÁ, Álvaro R. de . S.; SANTIAGO, F. S.; GOMES, L. da . S. Drivers of employment change in Brazil in sectors by technological intensity: a structural decomposition analysis. Nova Economia, [S. l.], v. 34, n. 2, p. 1–46, 2024. Disponível em: https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/8181. Acesso em: 25 dec. 2025.

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Issue

Vol. 34 No. 2 (2024): Revista Nova Economia

Section

Regular Issue

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