CEO’S OVERCONFIDENCE AND THE RISK OF FRAUDULENT FINANCIAL REPORTING: EVIDENCE ON BRAZILIAN CAPITAL MARKET
EVIDÊNCIAS NO MERCADO DE CAPITAIS BRASILEIRO
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22561/cvr.v34i3.7412Keywords:
Accounting Information. CEO Overconfidence. Risk of Fraudulent Financial Reporting.Abstract
The quality and quantity of information available in a market reflects the preparation process of companies' financial statements, which can be impacted by behavioral biases on the part of their designers, such as in the case of overconfidence. These biases may be an explanation for the practice of possible opportunistic behavior when preparing accounting information. This study analyzes the relationship of managers' overconfidence with the Risk of Fraudulent Financial Reporting (RRFF) of companies listed on Brasil, Bolsa e Balcão (B3) from 2010 to 2019. For this purpose, the M-score was used as a proxy for RRFF. In addition, a ranking was built using the TOPSIS methodology (with the aid of entropy) to formulate the independent variable that measures overconfidence. The analyzed sample contains 211 companies, totaling 1,868 company-year observations that were analyzed using pooled linear regression. The results reveal a negative relationship between managers' overconfidence and the RRFF, which provides evidence that the personal characteristics of managers, in this case, overconfidence, have an impact on the quality of financial statements. Furthermore, the use of the M-score as a proxy for the Risk of Fraudulent Financial Reports brings greater robustness to the results achieved here, since it uses contemporary parameters, that is, updated according to the sample and period under study.
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