Política industrial e desenvolvimento regional: uma análise sobre o Programa Nova Indústria Brasil (NIB)
Abstract
This study employs data science techniques to assess the potential effects of the Nova Indústria Brazil (NIB) Program from a regional perspective by classifying productive activities based on Opportunity Gains. The analysis compares the impacts of the missions proposed by the NIB, using 2021 data, with an alternative scenario based on technological intensity. The findings reveal that missions targeting activities with higher technological intensity (Missions 4 and 5) exhibit higher average opportunity gains, with the potential to generate greater diversification and productive sophistication. In contrast, missions focused on activities with lower technological intensity (Missions 1, 3, and 6) show more limited regional impacts. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Levene, Anova, and Kruskal-Wallis statistical tests confirm these differences. Thus, the study suggests that an industrial policy more oriented toward Opportunity Gains, focusing on high-tech sectors, can drive regional growth and strengthen economic competitiveness.
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Copyright (c) 2026 Wallace Marcelino Pereira, Adilson Giovanini, Silvio Antonio Ferraz Cario
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